Publications

A semi-stochastic algorithm approach to generating CBRNE terrorist attack plot scenarios

Published in Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism, 2023

We introduce the Automated Adversary Template Generation (AATG) process to generate synthetic terrorist incidents that are realistic. The AATG process uses semi-stochastic sampling to simulate terrorist adversary behaviours and activities and produce thousands of CBRNE terrorist attack scenarios.

Recommended citation: Tyler Clark, Ayushi Saxena, Thomas Guarrieri & Steve Sin (2024) A semi-stochastic algorithm approach to generating CBRNE terrorist attack plot scenarios, Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism, 19:2, 266-283, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/18335330.2023.2228536

Modeling Terrorist Attack Cycles as a Stochastic Process: Analyzing Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Incidents

Published in Journal of Applied Security Research, 2020

To further the research agenda on chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) attacks, we present a novel methodology for modeling a CBRN terrorist attack cycle as a stochastic process.

Recommended citation: Tyler A. Clark & Thomas R. Guarrieri (2021) Modeling Terrorist Attack Cycles as a Stochastic Process: Analyzing Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Incidents, Journal of Applied Security Research, 16:3, 281-306, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19361610.2020.1761743